Have we (hopefully) reached the peak?

36,389 cases today, down from 51,870 last Friday, it's too early to say for sure but it looks like we may have peaked last weekend.

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Hope you’re correct Lost. I tend to get a little confused reading the news reports. Infection rates down and the R rate steady.
Next article COVID hits 6 months high. Yet the next article today states a drop in cases for the third day running.
I’ve sort of given up trying to understand it.
Just seen breaking news another new variant being investigated. Jeez 🙄
 
But Cat said 750,000 scientists were unhappy with Freedom Day...

You expect a bit of variation in the modelling but not for the scientific advice to be completely 100% wrong. Restrictions lifted, 'cases' down - ** beautiful. That is poetry.

And these twats have been the 'expertise' driving this shitstorm from the start.
 
Well my view was Freedom Day was a risk worth taking as the worse case scenario was lock down again and that was where we were already.
The camp is still split in those wanting what we got on Monday and those expecting to see cases rocket, 2000 people a day in hospital and greatly rising deaths.

5 days in - so far so good for the Governments gamble. Let’s see if they are still in good shape next Friday?
 
Was that the Indie Sage letter by any chance?
Don't know. I just remember Cat saying that Boris had upset some scientists and was a wrong un which piqued my interest 😉 If it was Indy SAGE, that explains a lot.
 
36,389 cases today, down from 51,870 last Friday, it's too early to say for sure but it looks like we may have peaked last weekend.

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I hope so but I am not so sure.
The 54K previous peak was in all likelihood from the gatherings around the football matches in early July.
We have just opened night clubs which are a great environment for transmission, but on the plus side schools on holiday for six weeks.
It would be great if the figures keep falling, but we cannot be sure what the effect of Monday's easing will be yet.
 
I think we peaked around the Euro final so we saw the tip of it last weekend. The cases look like they were/are coming down and hopefully we won't see 100,000 daily cases within the next couple of weeks now that we have reopened everything up.

If people continue to wear a mask when in an indoor busy environment then we should be OK. Most people continue to wear them and are doing there bit which is great to see 👍
 
The figures are looking promising. Let’s hope that this is the peak and we are on the home run.
In the first two waves the graph went more or less straight up to their peak without any real interruptions.
The figures for daily cases are also a measure of the amount and type of testing done though.
In the first wave this was mainly being done in hospital. The second wave saw more of a mixture. During this wave a lot of the tests have been in schools.

Quite a lot of schools broke up for summer last weekend.
Many more will have finished yesterday and quite a lot including some in my area were forced to close during this week due to covid.
This might be the cause for the drop in case numbers now.
If the numbers of cases continue to fall for the next couple of weeks in spite of the restrictions easing it will probably mean that the third wave has peaked.
 
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Here’s the thought process for many.

If there's a lockdown and cases go down: this shows lockdown works!

If there's a lockdown and cases go up: this shows the lockdown isn't tough enough!

If there's no lockdown and cases go up: this shows we need lockdown!

If there's no lockdown and cases go down...

The immediate response is "the numbers are wrong”... but if fall in cases is sustained “that won't work for long...new variant, more transmissible etc”.

The cases going down has really pissed off some people 😂
 
Here’s the thought process for many.

If there's a lockdown and cases go down: this shows lockdown works!

If there's a lockdown and cases go up: this shows the lockdown isn't tough enough!

If there's no lockdown and cases go up: this shows we need lockdown!

If there's no lockdown and cases go down...

The immediate response is "the numbers are wrong”... but if fall in cases is sustained “that won't work for long...new variant, more transmissible etc”.

The cases going down has really pissed off some people 😂
Just embarrassment, I think. Wouldn't you you be if you'd spent the last year and a half in some pseudoscientific cult and now the non-believers are calling you in for deprogramming? 😉
 
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Just embarrassment, I think. Wouldn't you you be if you'd spent the last year and a half in some pseudoscientific cult and now the non-believers are calling you in for deprogramming? 😉
That'll be the pseudoscience that created the vaccine, all vaccines in fact, the same pseudoscience that stopped measles, polio, smallpox, diphtheria...the same pseudoscience that's saved literally millions of lives.

Fuck have you done?
 
That'll be the pseudoscience that created the vaccine, all vaccines in fact, the same pseudoscience that stopped measles, polio, smallpox, diphtheria...the same pseudoscience that's saved literally millions of lives.

Fuck have you done?
I've never had any of those diseases so don't need to worry about them. Science also created the atom bomb and Crocs so it's not all good.
 
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Here’s the thought process for many.

If there's a lockdown and cases go down: this shows lockdown works!

If there's a lockdown and cases go up: this shows the lockdown isn't tough enough!

If there's no lockdown and cases go up: this shows we need lockdown!

If there's no lockdown and cases go down...

The immediate response is "the numbers are wrong”... but if fall in cases is sustained “that won't work for long...new variant, more transmissible etc”.

The cases going down has really pissed off some people 😂
As if by magic...Desperate for it to last
 
I've never had any of those diseases so don't need to worry about them. Science also created the atom bomb and betamax so it's not all good.
Betamax was the superior product, not knowing this automatically negates any other point of view you hold.
 
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Betamax was the superior product, not knowing this automatically negates any other point of view you hold.
I realised this immediately after I'd posted so edited it to read Crocs instead but you were just too fast for me 🙂
 
21,952 today, down from 24,950 last Monday; numbers in hospital may have just peaked, admissions to hospital data is a bit out of date, but looks to have peaked also.

It's not over yet but the expected exit wave doesn't appear to have materialised and autumn/winter may well be tough regardless of Covid, but barring another new variant hopefully the worst is now behind us.

Fingers crossed.
 
21,952 today, down from 24,950 last Monday; numbers in hospital may have just peaked, admissions to hospital data is a bit out of date, but looks to have peaked also.

It's not over yet but the expected exit wave doesn't appear to have materialised and autumn/winter may well be tough regardless of Covid, but barring another new variant hopefully the worst is now behind us.

Fingers crossed.
We had this discussion a week back Lost and I’m with you, fingers crossed.
The testing numbers may be down but it’s hospitalisation I look at now.
Here’s to some media outlet pi. g on our optimism.
They’ll be a Isle of Man variant coming along soon.
I’m in the US at the moment and it seems on the rise here again. Due back Saturday and apparently the flight is full, since this started I’ve usually had two or three seats to myself. That’s a downside.
 
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