1 billion quid player

BFC1980

Well-known member
I posted this on another thread but with Mo(ney) Salah now asking for 500k a week, how long before we have the first 1,000,000,000 quid transfer fee?

A 1 billion quid transfer fee sounds ridiculous but looking at how the record transfer fees have increased over the years, it seems that roughly every 20 years, the record fee gets around ten times bigger. Insane that that amount of money would change hands for the services of 1 footballer.

1962 - 115,000 (Denis Law)
17 years
1979 - 1,180,000 (Trevor Francis)
17 years
1996 - 15,000,000 (Alan Shearer)
22 years
2018 - 105,000,000 (Philippe Coutinho)

2038?? - 1,000,000,000 (????)
 
Like in oil, we might be reaching a moment of ‘peak football’. Sky nearly bankrupted themselves with the massive amount they paid for EPL rights about a decade ago. New streaming platforms will give the sport new money but I remain sceptical over how many of those will be in existence in 10 years. Football won’t just keep exponentially increasing in money forever, once far flung markets like Asia and America are being tapped into and the well will run dry. The Middle Eastern playboy princes are already bored with it.
 
I'm doubtful.

The rise in the last 30 years is driven by technological and economic changes, the game has gone from being sold to 40,000 people in a stadium to 400,000,000 around the world, I can't see that kind of growth being repeated over the next 30 years.
 
Also financial fair play rules are clearly having some effect, just look at Barcelona.
 
Fees like this, especially when the money goes overseas, are killing the game.
Personally I don’t care whether the money goes to a British billionaire who doesn’t pay tax or a Middle Eastern billionaire who doesn’t pay tax.
 
Think we need an American football style wage cap
That works because they have a monopoly on the game, nobody is playing American Football outside of America. Football is a world game. If England introduced a wage cap all the players would go to other league and it would implode. The billions in TV revenue helps fund English footballers lower league clubs. No other country has as deep a pyramid as us
 
Personally I don’t care whether the money goes to a British billionaire who doesn’t pay tax or a Middle Eastern billionaire who doesn’t pay tax.
I would hope that if the money stayed in this country a decent proportion would funnel its way down the pyramid, through domestic transfers, to the benefit of our clubs.
 
I would hope that if the money stayed in this country a decent proportion would funnel its way down the pyramid, through domestic transfers, to the benefit of our clubs.
Clubs are going to want to buy players from overseas clubs. There’s maybe 300 players in England who may be of even the slightest bit of interest to a Premier League club. Maybe just a couple of dozen to the big ones. There’s several thousand in the rest of the world. Money going in and out on players sales has nothing to do with it, it’s the redistribution of TV money which funds lower league clubs.
 
Humanity is on a downward course. I suspect the super-rich will be turning their attention to space stations in order to eek out their last moments of life.
 
I'm doubtful.

The rise in the last 30 years is driven by technological and economic changes, the game has gone from being sold to 40,000 people in a stadium to 400,000,000 around the world, I can't see that kind of growth being repeated over the next 30 years.
Wait till we find extra terrestrial life. Then the Arsenal and Chelsea fans in Ghana and Shanghai will be pissed off when kick off times are moved by several hundred light years to accommodate the audience on Serius X1...
 
I posted this on another thread but with Mo(ney) Salah now asking for 500k a week, how long before we have the first 1,000,000,000 quid transfer fee?

A 1 billion quid transfer fee sounds ridiculous but looking at how the record transfer fees have increased over the years, it seems that roughly every 20 years, the record fee gets around ten times bigger. Insane that that amount of money would change hands for the services of 1 footballer.

1962 - 115,000 (Denis Law)
17 years
1979 - 1,180,000 (Trevor Francis)
17 years
1996 - 15,000,000 (Alan Shearer)
22 years
2018 - 105,000,000 (Philippe Coutinho)

2038?? - 1,000,000,000 (????)
All over priced and over paid
 
That works because they have a monopoly on the game, nobody is playing American Football outside of America. Football is a world game. If England introduced a wage cap all the players would go to other league and it would implode. The billions in TV revenue helps fund English footballers lower league clubs. No other country has as deep a pyramid as us
That pyramid existed long before the TV money and existed throughout periods where other league *did* pay more money. John Charles going to Juve, Dennis Law and the other lad whose name I've forgotten to Torino for example...

The wages are inflated throughout the game which is why lower league clubs need the TV money to survive.

They need the TV money because the TV money has made bigger clubs rich and wages are inflated to a point where our third and fourth tier players earn as much as top tier players elsewhere. Which isn't a princes ransom but it's still proportionally higher than it was prior to the premier league.

We're refusing to address the hyper inflatiom because it funds the lower league but at least part of the reason the lower leagues need funding is because of that inflation.

It's also true to say that football rights would lose value, but they wouldn't lose all value. Domestic football would still be a lucrative market and money could still be distributed and if shared equitably then you could probably pay a sum not dissimilar to that which Div 4 clubs recieve now.

*Cue someone saying 'but it's the money 'earmed' by the premier league clubs so why should...*

Also, looking forward to the book like you wouldn't believe!!!
 
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