One in 400 has CV-19

wizard_wes

wizard_wes

Well-known member
Seems a remarkably low number to me ...

One in 400 people in England has the Covid-19 virus, a survey of nearly 11,000 people in households suggests.
They were asked to carry out swab tests over the two weeks up to 10 May.
This indicates about 148,000 people in England could be currently infected - 0.27% of the population.
The figures could help ministers estimate the transmission rate of the virus, or R number, and whether tracking contacts of infected people is feasible or not.
The pilot study of 5,000 households gives a snapshot estimate of how many people could be infected with the virus at a given point in time, with or without symptoms.
It is set to expand over time to test 25,000 people for the virus in private households.
Households in all four UK nations will eventually be included.
 
I guess they will then extrapolate, say you are infected for two weeks, its being going on for say 16 weeks ( put your own figures) still a surprisingly low figure
 
Bit short of the 50% some on here were scaremongering about earlier in the week.

On the how many out of ten scale, it’s less 0.03 out of 10.

Our thoughts need to go out to all those who are struggling with treatment for other life threatening conditions.
 
Infected between 27 April to 10 May...
Dark_Side_of_the_Lune said:
Bit short of the 50% some on here were scaremongering about earlier in the week.

On the how many out of ten scale, it’s less 0.03 out of 10.

Our thoughts need to go out to all those who are struggling with treatment for other life threatening conditions.
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Don't worry, they've already got us down for a tsunami of infections because some people looked at each other in a marginally engaging way on VE Day.
 
It’s for a period when lockdown had already been in force for over a month too. They need to look at the death rate difference 2 to 4 weeks after that to include the lag , and then compare it with the death rate 2 to 4 weeks before the peak over Easter and try and gauge how many were infected then to try a and give us an idea of the top end of infection at any one time.
They could then use the same logic for each week we’ve lived through the pandemic.
I can’t be bothered working it out right now.
 
Unlikely to be 35million though which some were having us swallow the other day. You know the 5 out of 10 of us will have it scaremongering.
Yes the excess death is the worry. How many people have unnecessarily suffered because of the malicious scaremongering of COVID risk now the peak has been brought back?
 
Dark_Side_of_the_Lune said:
Unlikely to be 35million though which some were having us swallow the other day. You know the 5 out of 10 of us will have it scaremongering.
Yes the excess death is the worry. How many people have unnecessarily suffered because of the malicious scaremongering of COVID risk now the peak has been brought back?
Click to expand...
I must admit I’m totally confused by all the bloody stats. 11 000 is a poor sample especially when testing those who mostly don’t have symptoms and also testing so far into lockdown.
I wanted it to be higher so more people have passed through it 🥴 Now I have no clue at all.
 
Im not talking about the amount that may have had it. Likely 7 to 15%? But if the current infection rate was as low as that then surely by keeping the R under 1 we could pretty much stamp this thing out in a few months?
Seems this is what they think is the way forward with track & trace?
Of course im not saying it wont bounce back in the future but surely we should know more about how to deal with it by then?
 
deary said:
Im not talking about the amount that may have had it. Likely 7 to 15%? But if the current infection rate was as low as that then surely by keeping the R under 1 we could pretty much stamp this thing out in a few months?
Seems this is what they think is the way forward with track & trace?
Of course im not saying it wont bounce back in the future but surely we should know more about how to deal with it by then?
Click to expand...
I hope so.
 
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