Tonight's Draw

Stu99 said:
On the plus side, premier league opposition is bound to bring in some dough.
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I'm not so sure. Anti-climax. With 8 games being show live on BBC or BT1, I can't see this being one of them. It will though, like the last round be one of the supplementary games.
 
They have mid week prem games before and after, positioned just above the relegation zone. They will no doubt rest players and not be too bothered should they go out. See us winning the Brighton game.
 
Brighton celebrated like they'd won the cup when they beat Newport on pens last night, it didn't look like they weren't bothered to me.
 
1966_and_all_that said:
I was underwhelmed when the draw was made but on reflection....Brighton have bigger issues than getting to the 5th round of the Cup, especially as that's an away tie at teams that can beat them. So, will they be at the races - I doubt it. After us doing West Brom there's no doubt it will be televised and (double-edged sword) there will be Covid casting a shadow. Add in the lack of supporters I see this as a 7/4 chance for Blackpool.
Moving onto the 5th Round, all the teams will be looking at Wembley - one of Man U/Liverpool will be out and I can see other big teams hitting fences on their way round. If we're in at that point we will be a prime-time match - having got rid of two Prem teams. Our tails will be up and we'll probably give a good account of ourselves at 3/1. That puts us on a 5/1 chance of making the Quarters - I'll take that.
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I take it you dont study football betting 1966?...Assuming we were priced up at 7/4 and 3/1 which we wont be then we would be a 10/1 double not 5/1.(40 at 7/4 puts you 110 at 3/1 = 440 for your outlay of 40 =10/1)

However we will likely be 4/1 plus at Brighton and much bigger at Leicester(or Brentford) so the likelihood is we are about a 40/1 poke to win both matches outright and maybe about a 20/1 shot to qualify by any method.
 
TANGERINETOWERPOWER said:
I take it you dont study football betting 1966?...Assuming we were priced up at 7/4 and 3/1 which we wont be then we would be a 10/1 double not 5/1.(40 at 7/4 puts you 110 at 3/1 = 440 for your outlay of 40 =10/1)

However we will likely be 4/1 plus at Brighton and much bigger at Leicester(or Brentford) so the likelihood is we are about a 40/1 poke to win both matches outright and maybe about a 20/1 shot to qualify by any method.
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You're right TTP, I'm no betting man. I just used basic probability.
 
Cant really see why people think this is bad. Are we realistically going to win the cup? We could have got two mid table championship sides. I know which I prefer
 
Whatever happens it's another game to watch (unless it all gets cancelled) & I never really thought we'd beat West Brom especially with Sam in charge. The thing is you never know. 🤞
 
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