Home form v Away

Stanah

Well-known member
After the comments about the amount of home games we have to play v away games I thought that I would have a quick look at the results so far this year.

It is obvious that looking at the league as a whole, the home advantage has been eradicated from our league, probably due to the lack of the famed 12th man.

There have been 144 home wins so far this season in league one v 132 away wins and 84 draws. of course there has been the same amount of matches played at home as away across the league this means 40% of matches are home wins, 37% away wins and 23% draws. all of these stats tell me that home or away, it makes very little difference where the match is played.

However Pool have won 67% of our home games so far v 37% away from home, a massive advantage for us, why?
Are we over performing at home or under performing on our travels?

Are we too negative away from home?
I think that has been the case, we are too defensive minded away, we are playing to the old rules and letting teams attack us and waiting for our chance to score.
We have sat back and let teams like Wimbledon, Shrewsbury and Ipswich have the impetus in matches and never really gone after them and at Bristol and Doncaster went ahead in the match then let go of the throttle and started to play like the "away team"
Of course this same tactic has worked at Portsmouth, Burton and Posh (i guess Wigan was a one off)

I'm sure the coaches will be trying to understand what is happening, maybe this was why we were much more aggressive at Charlton from the 1st minute

Thoughts?
 
Just adding this cos it breaks down goals column into home and away


Small correction
7 wins at home out of 11 is 64%
6 wins away out of 16 is 38%
(rounding up both times)

Not that much difference in our goals scored, home 1.27 per game, away 1.19 per game
Or goals conceded, home 0.91 per game, away 1 per game

Charlton were poor. Not many, if any, teams have given us the space in front of their back four that they did on Saturday and their attacking threat was pretty toothless, even when they had 11 players on the pitch. Critch, as I see it, sets up his team, players and tactics for each individual game, depending on the opposition and the players available. The final result, not withstanding the input of the managers / coaching staff on both sides, is in lap of the footballing gods.

Interesting question though I wouldn’t entirely agree with your conclusions. I do love stats though, although they’re not always worth the paper or screen that they’re written on

Bring on Tuesday night
Blackpool 1.27 Crewe 1 is my score forecast 🙃
 
In our last 18 league games we have played...

6 home games: 5 wins and 1 draw (16 points from 18)

12 away games: 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. (20 points from 36)

The 4 away defeats include Doncaster which was ridiculous, and the two Xmas games at Bristol and Shrewsbury, which were inevitable. God has spoken. So in the last 18 games only Ipswich have beaten us without divine intervention. Hang on, we've never won at Ipswich. That one is down to a curse going back over 100 years. Nobody has actually beaten us in a fair contest.
 
No quite sure that is correct Hazi

our worst away performances have been at shewsbury, Bristol and ipswich, all not long ago.
We played very well at Bristol R. Lots of positives from that game apart from the one that mattered - the result. As you say though the other two were dreadful.
 
The Home/Away form suggests we have two very winnable games this week.


As for being too defensive, Saturday was the first time Virtue has played in central midfield and it looks we don't need both Dougall and Stewart in there all the time. Dougall was a revelation when he arrived, now he's not the first choice defensive midfielder. And just compare the back four on Saturday to the Plymouth game (Gabriel/Ballard/Thorniley/Garbutt v Turton/Ekpiteta/Nottingham/Mitchell). Things have moved on at pace this season and we have good players to come back when the current lot dip in form.
 
To get 36 points from 18 games is good in itself but when 12 of those games were away from home it is pretty exceptional.
 
I think that has been the case, we are too defensive minded away, we are playing to the old rules and letting teams attack us and waiting for our chance to score.
I think that has been true for the early part of the season but we do look a lot more attach minded these days and not prepared to sit on a lead. I suppose the Doncaster game is the annoying one and just wonder if we played Plymouth and Gillingham away now (first two away games, if the results would have been different).
 
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