Total Lockdown Inevitable.

The Tier system is open to abuse/accidental misinterpretation IMO, it doesn’t work. The economy is already bolluxed, and this on/off situation is pissing off small business, who buy in stock, perishable in a lot of cases, only to be told to close down again, People involved in Education, whether it be families arranging child care, teachers preparing lessons, school food ordering and preparation, all then to be told to go back into lockdown. As a lifelong libertarian, I hate the idea of this mass taking away of our freedom and rights, but it has to be carried out for our future. So it has got to be a Total no holds barred lockdown from now on.
and. perhaps, it would be better if the world looked at the best way of mitigating the toll of the disease, and of distributing the vaccines, as a matter of co-operation rather than of nations looking to be at the forefront of anything. Unfortunately, the World doesn't seem to do this very well.
 
We are talking about the effectiveness of lockdowns and in particular the evidence that the lockdown in Wuhan had worked in the first instance. I sited a peer reviewed paper from the Lancet a highly respected UK based medical journal that talked about the effectiveness of the lockdown. Here is some more evidence that the lockdown was effective, this time from the BBC, a respected UK based news outlet;


What evidence do you have that the lockdown in Wuhan didn't initially work?
The two sources of evidence that I have sited for my post are not the Chinese government, nor are they connected to the Chinese government as you seem to imply.
GD's Political Animal: Did the lockdown work in Wuhan?
Suggest you re-read my post too. I've previously linked a photo to the enormous queues in Wuhan of residents waiting to get their loved ones ashes.
 
So if you were in charge races and protests are acceptable
I'm saying I dont think they have been a bigger spreader of the illness than relatives meeting in houses, people going to pubs and restaurants or colleagues working together indoors.
Just because you may not like raves or protests dont let it cloud your judgement that they have been a bigger cause of infection nationally, my guess is they have not.
As for would I allow raves and protests my answer is in another post on this thread, it's not a black and white answer for me.
 
Fair play, but he did say the new guidance would be issued, once per day was a huge issue last time as regarded as unreasonable by most
Maybe I'm reading the guidance wrong but it doesn't seem an awful lot different to tier 4 apart from the schools being shut.
 
Fair play, but he did say the new guidance would be issued, once per day was a huge issue last time as regarded as unreasonable by most
The whole thing regarding outdoor exercise is totally unreasonable, especially given the extended length of time we have been under lockdown or partial lockdown conditions.

As I've said repeatedly, there simply isn't any evidence at all to suggest that outdoor exercise poses any risk. In fact arguably, cooping people up inside their homes is far more likely to result in a whole range of illness and infection.

Obviously we weren't as aware of the risks during the lockdown in March and so the extra precautions made some sense, but there is literally no reason why people should not be free to exercise outside where and when they choose.
 
The whole thing regarding outdoor exercise is totally unreasonable, especially given the extended length of time we have been under lockdown or partial lockdown conditions.

As I've said repeatedly, there simply isn't any evidence at all to suggest that outdoor exercise poses any risk. In fact arguably, cooping people up inside their homes is far more likely to result in a whole range of illness and infection.

Obviously we weren't as aware of the risks during the lockdown in March and so the extra precautions made some sense, but there is literally no reason why people should not be free to exercise outside where and when they choose.
I agree with the frequency, do it as many times as you like, the travelling to exercise is something we will probably disagree on. We are lucky, Scotland is unlimited exercise and I have many great walks out in the countryside seeing little or no humans, from the front door. The dog is looking worried again!!
 
It really is the older generation who are huge offenders when it comes to breaking covid rules.
To my horror, my 88 year old stepmother held a NYE party with members of her own family attending. Two were invited up from London and up they came as if the pandemic was just something that happened to other people. My dad has dementia but he’s constantly sent out to get food and provisions and he forgets the virus and his mask half the time.

I f@#ing despair
 
I agree with the frequency, do it as many times as you like, the travelling to exercise is something we will probably disagree on. We are lucky, Scotland is unlimited exercise and I have many great walks out in the countryside seeing little or no humans, from the front door. The dog is looking worried again!!
It's something that I have to admit will play havoc with my mental health... There's only so many times you can walk the same streets, the same routes in a flat area like mine, before you start to feel like you're on a hamster wheel. I pounded the streets for 3-4 hours a day locally during the last full lockdown, I'm not sure I can cope with that again.
 
Is it the frequency and distance you can travel which is the main difference? I cant see anything specific about their being a limit to how long you can exercise.mind.
 
Is it the frequency and distance you can travel which is the main difference? I cant see anything specific about their being a limit to how long you can exercise.mind.
It doesn’t put a time limit on exercise, though it says “once per day”... What was formerly guidance now appears to be a requirement....
 
It doesn’t put a time limit on exercise, though it says “once per day”... What was formerly guidance now appears to be a requirement....
Right, so presumably I can walk to Blackpool and back as long as I do it all in one go.
 
So you believe an unreviewed internet blog from someone who may have an axe to grind, in preference to peer reviewed research and / or the journalistic network of the BBC.

I'm out.
It's an alternative view is it not. You asked me to provide something I did. And noting the article used a lot of sources for info. If you are happy that everything has dealt with the whole situation in an above board manner then that's up to you. I most certainly don't.
 
So you believe an unreviewed internet blog from someone who may have an axe to grind, in preference to peer reviewed research and / or the journalistic network of the BBC.

I'm out.
Where was the 'peer reviewed research'?

The Lancet Article seemed like a fairly general opinion piece?

Including the following "Still, it does not necessarily follow that China's response to the pandemic is generalisable. “As each country has its own health system and epidemic curve, measures implemented in one country may not be easily replicated by another”, points out Imperial College London's Han Fu.
 
GOV.UK says stick to your own village, town, area of city etc. Walking to Blackpool would presumably break that.

Travel

You must not leave your home unless you have a reasonable excuse(for example, for work or education purposes). If you need to travel you should stay local – meaning avoiding travelling outside of yourvillage, town or the part of a city where you live – and look to reduce the number of journeys you make overall. The list of reasons you can leave your home and area include, but are not limited to:

●work, where you cannot reasonably work from home
●accessing education and for caring responsibilities
●visiting those in your support bubble – or your childcarebubble for childcare
●visiting hospital, GP and other medical appointments or visitswhere you have had an accident or are concerned about yourhealth
●buying goods or services that you need, but this should bewithin your local area wherever possible
outdoor exercise. This should be done locally whereverpossible, but you can travel a short distance within your areato do so if necessary (for example, to access an open space)
●attending the care and exercise of an animal, or veterinaryservicesIf you need to travel, walk or cycle where possible, and plan aheadand avoid busy times and routes on public transport. This will allowyou to practice social distancing whil
 
Local area is vague, I consider it a short journey to the Ribble Valley, Trough of Bowland, Beacon Fell and various other locations in Lancashire. I am 200 metres from St Anne's beach, do I have to go to my nearest open space. I enjoy the beach but it started to get a bit tiresome in the end, also gets quite busy!
 
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Local area is vague, I consider it a short journey to the Ribble Valley, Trough of Bowland, Beacon Fell and various other locations in Lancashire. I am 200 metres from St Anne's beach, do I have to go to my nearest open space. I enjoy the beach but it started to get a bit tiresome in the end, also gets quite busy!
Same here, the beach looked like Crufts yesterday!
 
Same here, the beach looked like Crufts yesterday!
Always the same on a decent day, understandably under the current circumstances. So if I can jump in the car and drive for half an hour to find somewhere less crowded and just have a change from the same old, what's the harm?
 
Always the same on a decent day, understandably under the current circumstances. So if I can jump in the car and drive for half an hour to find somewhere less crowded and just have a change from the same old, what's the harm?
Ask Bojo and SAGE. Who the hell knows pal? Breakdown in your car perhaps? Accident in a different area. Just hypotheticals.
 
Always the same on a decent day, understandably under the current circumstances. So if I can jump in the car and drive for half an hour to find somewhere less crowded and just have a change from the same old, what's the harm?
Can’t argue with that. Bubbled in the car, a walk in the fresh air seeing different scenery, just as long as you don’t come into contact with anyone I suppose.
 
The real downside for me will be empty roads of motor propelled vehicles (great) but a massive increase in lycra clad cycling wankers!!
Doubt it until the weather warms up and normally Jan / Feb are not good months. l've been out on the bike today along the prom and there were very few cyclists.
 
Ask Bojo and SAGE. Who the hell knows pal? Breakdown in your car perhaps? Accident in a different area. Just hypotheticals.
Local area just seems vague to me, as for breakdowns and accidents that could happen going to the supermarket in Blackpool, I'm not going to do a Dominic Cummings style journey so I should be ok.
 
Local area just seems vague to me, as for breakdowns and accidents that could happen going to the supermarket in Blackpool, I'm not going to do a Dominic Cummings style journey so I should be ok.
I agree. Vague on purpose if you ask me. Do what you think is right pal.
 
Travel

You must not leave your home unless you have a reasonable excuse(for example, for work or education purposes). If you need to travel you should stay local – meaning avoiding travelling outside of yourvillage, town or the part of a city where you live – and look to reduce the number of journeys you make overall. The list of reasons you can leave your home and area include, but are not limited to:

●work, where you cannot reasonably work from home
●accessing education and for caring responsibilities
●visiting those in your support bubble – or your childcarebubble for childcare
●visiting hospital, GP and other medical appointments or visitswhere you have had an accident or are concerned about yourhealth
●buying goods or services that you need, but this should bewithin your local area wherever possible
outdoor exercise. This should be done locally whereverpossible, but you can travel a short distance within your areato do so if necessary (for example, to access an open space)
●attending the care and exercise of an animal, or veterinaryservicesIf you need to travel, walk or cycle where possible, and plan aheadand avoid busy times and routes on public transport. This will allowyou to practice social distancing whil
If necessary. I'd say walking along the Prom all the way from Fleetwood isn't necessary.
 
If necessary. I'd say walking along the Prom all the way from Fleetwood isn't necessary.
I shouldn't think there is any limitation on the distance you walk, so long as you only walk once per day. In terms of travel to exercise, the reference really means jumping in your car or getting on Public Transport to access an open space, rather than walking from your home, which has always been acceptable.
 
I shouldn't think there is any limitation on the distance you walk, so long as you only walk once per day. In terms of travel to exercise, the reference really means jumping in your car or getting on Public Transport to access an open space, rather than walking from your home, which has always been acceptable.
Agree with that. So how does that square with those saying they're driving to Pendle, Trough of Bowland, Lakes etc?
 
Agree with that. So how does that square with those saying they're driving to Pendle, Trough of Bowland, Lakes etc?
It's a bit of a grey area really and the actual Law hasn't yet been put in place anyway only guidance. The Government has adopted a policy of overstating the exercise of the powers in the published guidance so far, as opposed to actually passing laws to match. So to that extent, the requirement to stay local is not a legal requirement or enforcable in law.
 
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